Denmark - surprising elections

Dear friends and comrades


Here is a short note to inform you of the results of the parliamentary elections in Denmark yesterday, 18 June 2015.
 
Rightwing victory

Yesterday’s parliamentary elections in Denmark were surprising in many ways.
The right-populist Danish People’s Party became the big winners of the elections, which also led to a huge defeat of the biggest party in the last elections in 2011, the Liberal party “Venstre”.  
The Social Democrats on the other hand became the biggest party in the elections, whereas the party’s former coalition partners in government, the Social Liberals and SF/the Socialist People’s Party, suffered from decisive defeats.

A new government will be formed under the leadership of Lars Løkke Rasmussen, the leader of “Venstre”, who was the Prime Minister of the former rightwing, bourgeois government until 2011.
Helle Thorning-Schmidt, the Prime Minister of the last 4 years and leader of the Social Democrats, chose to step down in both capacities last night.

Enhedslisten/the Red-Green Alliance increased its votes from 6.7 to 7.8 % in the elections.

Here are the results of the elections (compared to the 2011 results), in which 10 political parties were standing:

Results                                                    2011        2015
•    Socialdemokratiet - Social Democrats 24. 8 %     26.3 %
•    Radikale Venstre - Social Liberals   9.5 %       4.6 %
•    Det Konservative Folkeparti - Conservative People’s Party   4.9 %       3.4 %
•    Socialistisk Folkeparti (SF) - Socialist People’s Party   9.2 %       4.2 %
•    Liberal Alliance - Liberal Alliance   5.0 %       7.5 %
•    
•    Kristendemokraterne - Christian Democrats   0.8 %       0.8 %
•    Dansk Folkeparti - Danish People’s Party 12.3 %     21.1 %      
•    Venstre - Liberal Party 26.7 %     19.5 %  
•    Enhedslisten, The Red-Green Alliance   6.7 %       7.8 %
•    Alternativet - The Alternative     -        4.8 %

Comments on result

The election campaign has been a very close race between the so-called two “blocs” of parties in the Danish parliament - the “Blue Bloc” and the “Red Bloc”, as shown on a daily basis by the media and numerous polls, which contributed significantly to the race.

However, it was a surprise that the rightpopulist Danish People’s Party would become the largest of the rightwing/bourgeois parties in the elections. Their result is higher than shown in the polls during the election campaign.


It remains to be seen how the next Danish government will be composed. It is still an open question whether the Danish People’s Party wishes to be part of the government.

At the same time just as surprisingly, the Social Democrats gained 3 seats in the elections, apparently drawing support from some of the previous voters of SF.
The lesson of the last four years of Social Democratic-led government has not been good: The economic policies were more or less copied from the previous bourgeois rightwing government. Although there were good signs in the beginning of the period with for the first time a woman as the Prime Minister of a Danish government, and for the first time the Socialist People’s Party (SF) in government, there was as well fast popular disillusionment with the policies of the government.  

This to some extent explains the success of the Danish People’s Party.

We are of course happy to announce that Enhedslisten/the Red-Green Alliance advanced in the elections by over 1 %, which means a rise from 12 to 14 seats in the parliament. In the parliamentary elections in 2011, the party had a rise from 4 to 12 seats with 6.7 % (up from 2.2%) of the votes.


The increase in support of the Red-Green Alliance should of course to a great extent be seen on the background of popular disaffection with the economic and social policies of the Social Democratic-led government over the last 4 years.  But the polls 2 years ago showed support of the RGA to be at around 12%. The gains in the yesterday’s elections are small in comparison with the previous polls.
However, note that the Red-Green Alliance has now become the
fourth largest political party in Denmark


The election campaign of the Red-Green Alliance focused on the main issues that the party has fought for the last 4 years, such as defence of the weakest in society, to improve the public sector, to remove the reforms that have led to a deterioration of the situation of the unemployed and those on social welfare, as well as a focus on green policies to fight climate change.

Strange and nasty election campaign

This has been in many ways a strange election campaign with quite a number of the many parties standing achieving relatively good figures in the opinion polls, and with a kind of “presidential campaign” between the leaders of the two big parties - the Social Democrats and the big liberal party “Venstre”.

Neither of the leaders were very popular and sometimes competed on some of the worst notes and issues:  How to prevent more refugees from entering the country - how to make more of the unemployed “work” or “get a job”  - at worst the campaign seemed to be mainly an attack on at the weakest in society.
An important reason for the negative focus on refugees (and immigrants) is of course the rise of the Danish People’s Party.

It is remarkable that international affairs - apart from the issue of refugees - were hardly touched upon in the election campaign. This applies as well to issues concerning the EU.

A good number of voters have obviously been looking for alternatives to the nasty debates on refugees and on the “lazy” unemployed and therefore preferred to vote in favour of parties with more alternative and radical policies. This applies especially to a new party “The Alternative”, a centre-left party placing itself in the Red Bloc of parties, but which is rather a social-liberal green party, and not really leftist and anti-Capitalist in perspective. This party was set up by defectors (among them a former minister) of the Social Liberal party. The new party has been good at presenting visionary green and other policies.


At the other end of the spectrum the Liberal Alliance party has also been successful in the elections. This is a party with a clear neo-liberal profile, aiming to reduce the public sector even further.

Composition of new parliament

The Danish Folketing has 179 seats - the last elections in 2011 were very narrow with the Red Bloc of parties achieving 89 seats to those of the Blue Bloc at 86 seats.  


This time the Blue Bloc will muster 90 seats. There are also 4 North Atlantic (Greenland and Faroe islands) seats - their elected MPs only sometimes choose sides after elections.